Tre Fiori vs AC Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.6%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
14.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
FIO
0 - 0
TFI
16%
23%
62%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
MUR
0 - 0
TFI
12%
21%
67%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
TFI
0 - 4
FOL
56%
24%
21%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
TFI
2 - 0
JUV
84%
12%
4%
|
67 | 41 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
FAE
0 - 1
TFI
15%
23%
63%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
CAI
0 - 2
VIR
21%
25%
55%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
COS
0 - 2
VIR
9%
18%
73%
|
56 | 30 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
VIR
2 - 1
TPE
17%
22%
62%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
VIR
0 - 2
PEN
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
MUR
1 - 2
VIR
31%
26%
44%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |