Tre Fiori vs AC Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
14.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
TPE
0 - 1
TFI
48%
26%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
FOL
3 - 3
TFI
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
FOL
1 - 2
TFI
58%
24%
18%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
TFI
4 - 1
MUR
56%
23%
22%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
DOM
2 - 4
TFI
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
VIR
0 - 1
MUR
49%
25%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
VIR
1 - 4
PEN
33%
27%
41%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
VIR
3 - 2
FIO
37%
27%
36%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
VIR
2 - 1
COS
44%
25%
32%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
TPE
3 - 1
VIR
62%
21%
17%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |