Tre Fiori vs AC Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
15.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
SGI
2 - 2
TFI
46%
25%
29%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
TFI
2 - 0
MUR
52%
24%
25%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
COS
1 - 0
TFI
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
TFI
1 - 0
JUV
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
FOL
2 - 1
TFI
37%
28%
35%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
FIO
1 - 0
VIR
73%
18%
10%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
VIR
1 - 1
CAI
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
VIR
1 - 1
CAI
53%
24%
22%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
VIR
0 - 2
PEN
42%
27%
31%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
VIR
2 - 0
FIO
39%
26%
35%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |