Tre Fiori vs AC Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
47.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
SGI
0 - 4
TFI
53%
23%
24%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
TFI
1 - 0
FIO
66%
19%
15%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
TFI
1 - 1
FIO
58%
21%
20%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
TFI
0 - 2
MUR
39%
24%
37%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
PEN
3 - 2
TFI
63%
20%
17%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
VIR
4 - 0
TPE
63%
20%
17%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
LIB
2 - 0
VIR
40%
24%
36%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
VIR
4 - 0
FOL
50%
23%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
FIO
0 - 5
VIR
18%
22%
60%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
VIR
0 - 1
CAI
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |