UCL Qualifying First Round Final
Global 2-2
Tre Fiori vs Sant Julià analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
40.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
COS
5 - 0
TFI
22%
24%
54%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2009 |
TFI
2 - 2
MUR
52%
25%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
SGI
0 - 3
TFI
11%
18%
71%
|
70 | 30 | 40 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
TFI
0 - 0
FAE
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
FIO
0 - 2
TFI
11%
19%
70%
|
70 | 33 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Sant Julià
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
LUS
0 - 1
SJU
26%
23%
51%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
SJU
3 - 2
SCO
51%
22%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
SJU
5 - 0
PRI
79%
14%
8%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
SJU
3 - 0
LUS
72%
17%
12%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
SCO
3 - 1
SJU
45%
25%
31%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |