Tre Fiori vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
26.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
VIR
4 - 1
TFI
34%
27%
39%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
TFI
3 - 2
DOM
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
TFI
1 - 1
MUR
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2011 |
TFI
0 - 5
DOM
74%
16%
10%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
TFI
0 - 2
LIB
73%
18%
9%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
CAI
3 - 0
PEN
17%
24%
60%
|
66 | 40 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
PEN
2 - 0
COS
55%
24%
22%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
JUV
0 - 1
PEN
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2011 |
PEN
2 - 0
CAI
87%
10%
3%
|
64 | 39 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
PEN
2 - 2
FAE
62%
21%
17%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |