Tre Fiori vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
26.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
TFI
3 - 0
VIR
54%
24%
23%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2006 |
FIO
2 - 0
TFI
28%
26%
46%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2006 |
CAI
2 - 3
TFI
24%
26%
50%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
TFI
0 - 0
FIO
72%
18%
10%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2006 |
COS
0 - 2
TFI
19%
24%
57%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
PEN
4 - 0
CAI
73%
18%
9%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
PEN
1 - 0
TPE
53%
25%
23%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
COS
1 - 1
PEN
16%
22%
62%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
VIR
3 - 2
PEN
38%
26%
36%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2006 |
MUR
1 - 0
PEN
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |