Tre Fiori vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
35.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2005 |
COS
0 - 2
TFI
31%
26%
43%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
MUR
1 - 0
TFI
60%
22%
19%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2005 |
TFI
0 - 1
TPE
53%
23%
24%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2005 |
FIO
0 - 1
TFI
31%
26%
44%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
FAE
0 - 3
TFI
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
PEN
1 - 1
CAI
64%
20%
16%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2005 |
TPE
0 - 3
PEN
41%
25%
34%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
PEN
1 - 1
FIO
75%
16%
9%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2005 |
COS
1 - 2
PEN
17%
22%
61%
|
68 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
SGI
0 - 2
PEN
15%
22%
64%
|
68 | 46 | 22 | 0 |