Tre Fiori vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
48.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
TFI
1 - 2
CAI
31%
26%
44%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2003 |
TPE
1 - 3
TFI
55%
23%
22%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
TFI
3 - 1
FIO
70%
18%
12%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
LIB
1 - 2
TFI
71%
18%
11%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
TFI
0 - 0
DOM
31%
25%
44%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
PEN
2 - 0
FAE
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2003 |
PEN
0 - 1
MUR
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2003 |
PEN
3 - 1
DOM
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2003 |
VIR
2 - 3
PEN
51%
24%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
FIO
1 - 3
PEN
13%
20%
67%
|
68 | 46 | 22 | 0 |