Tre Fiori vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
TPE
1 - 3
TFI
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
FIO
1 - 1
TFI
25%
25%
50%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
DOM
1 - 0
TFI
13%
22%
65%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
FIO
0 - 0
TFI
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
TFI
4 - 0
LIB
76%
17%
8%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
MUR
0 - 1
VIR
30%
26%
44%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
CAI
1 - 0
MUR
16%
23%
61%
|
62 | 38 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
MUR
1 - 0
LIB
68%
20%
13%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
MUR
1 - 0
JUV
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
DOM
0 - 0
MUR
23%
26%
52%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |