Tre Fiori vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
TFI
1 - 3
SGI
65%
19%
15%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
TPE
2 - 1
TFI
53%
26%
21%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
TFI
1 - 0
FIO
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
SGI
1 - 3
TFI
39%
26%
36%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
TFI
1 - 3
FIO
61%
21%
18%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
FIO
1 - 0
MUR
62%
22%
16%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
LIB
1 - 0
MUR
49%
27%
24%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
PEN
2 - 1
MUR
56%
24%
21%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
MUR
4 - 1
SGI
60%
21%
20%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
FAE
3 - 0
MUR
44%
26%
30%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |