Tre Fiori vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
37%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
PEN
3 - 2
TFI
63%
20%
17%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
TPE
0 - 2
TFI
71%
17%
13%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
TFI
1 - 2
COS
38%
25%
38%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
LIB
2 - 0
TFI
64%
20%
16%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2001 |
FOL
2 - 0
TFI
68%
19%
14%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
MUR
3 - 4
LIB
46%
23%
30%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
PEN
1 - 1
MUR
49%
24%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
MUR
0 - 0
TPE
49%
24%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2001 |
SGI
1 - 2
MUR
36%
25%
39%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2001 |
MUR
2 - 1
PEN
53%
23%
24%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |