Tre Fiori vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
26.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
PEN
0 - 1
TFI
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
TFI
2 - 1
FIO
27%
24%
49%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2014 |
TFI
0 - 1
FAE
49%
24%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
DOM
1 - 0
TFI
30%
27%
42%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
TFI
1 - 3
MUR
56%
23%
22%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
LIB
0 - 1
VIR
63%
23%
14%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
LIB
0 - 0
CAI
68%
21%
12%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2014 |
LIB
0 - 0
COS
45%
25%
30%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
LIB
3 - 1
TPE
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
LIB
1 - 0
FAE
47%
27%
26%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |