Tre Fiori vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
9.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
FIO
1 - 1
TFI
45%
24%
31%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
TFI
1 - 1
SGI
84%
12%
4%
|
70 | 42 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
COS
0 - 2
TFI
32%
25%
43%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
TFI
1 - 1
TPE
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
FOL
3 - 3
TFI
15%
23%
62%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
VIR
0 - 0
LIB
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
LIB
3 - 0
FOL
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
LIB
1 - 2
PEN
34%
25%
41%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
DOM
1 - 3
LIB
47%
26%
27%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
LIB
1 - 1
VIR
32%
26%
42%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |