Tre Fiori vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
15.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
TPE
2 - 1
TFI
43%
26%
32%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2009 |
TFI
2 - 0
CAI
71%
18%
11%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
TFI
3 - 0
FOL
74%
17%
9%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
TFI
1 - 0
COS
66%
19%
15%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
MUR
0 - 3
TFI
45%
24%
32%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2009 |
LIB
3 - 0
FIO
72%
16%
12%
|
60 | 34 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
LIB
1 - 1
FIO
77%
15%
8%
|
60 | 33 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
FAE
2 - 2
LIB
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
SGI
0 - 0
LIB
25%
22%
53%
|
61 | 30 | 31 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2009 |
FAE
1 - 0
LIB
41%
25%
35%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |