Tre Fiori vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
47%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2002 |
FOL
2 - 1
TFI
69%
18%
13%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2002 |
FAE
1 - 0
TFI
62%
21%
17%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
DOM
1 - 0
TFI
67%
19%
14%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
TFI
0 - 2
CAI
34%
25%
41%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
TFI
3 - 1
JUV
68%
18%
13%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2002 |
SGI
0 - 2
LIB
29%
24%
47%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2002 |
DOM
2 - 1
LIB
48%
23%
29%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
LIB
1 - 3
FAE
59%
22%
20%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
LIB
4 - 1
JUV
83%
12%
5%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
FOL
2 - 1
LIB
47%
23%
30%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |