Tre Fiori vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
15.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
SGI
0 - 2
TFI
24%
25%
52%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
TFI
0 - 2
VIR
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
TFI
7 - 0
CAI
82%
13%
4%
|
70 | 34 | 36 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2024 |
SGI
2 - 2
TFI
18%
20%
62%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
COS
2 - 2
TFI
47%
25%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
DOM
0 - 1
FOL
28%
26%
46%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
LIB
0 - 1
FOL
25%
25%
50%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
FOL
1 - 1
FIO
21%
26%
53%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2024 |
TPE
3 - 2
FOL
67%
19%
14%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
FAE
0 - 2
FOL
23%
25%
52%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |