Tre Fiori vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.1%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
9.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
TFI
2 - 1
CAI
83%
13%
4%
|
68 | 42 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
FIO
1 - 0
TFI
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
SMA
1 - 2
TFI
14%
21%
65%
|
69 | 22 | 47 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
FOL
0 - 1
TFI
13%
19%
68%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
TFI
5 - 1
JUV
74%
17%
9%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
JUV
0 - 1
FOL
35%
24%
41%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
FOL
0 - 2
VIR
13%
23%
64%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
FOL
0 - 2
MUR
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
FOL
0 - 1
TFI
13%
19%
68%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
FAE
4 - 1
FOL
22%
23%
55%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |