Tre Fiori vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
TFI
2 - 0
JUV
84%
12%
4%
|
67 | 41 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
FAE
0 - 1
TFI
15%
23%
63%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
TFI
0 - 0
CAI
83%
13%
5%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
TFI
0 - 0
COS
84%
12%
5%
|
67 | 31 | 36 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
TPE
1 - 1
TFI
43%
25%
32%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
LIB
2 - 2
FOL
25%
27%
48%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
FOL
3 - 0
MUR
64%
23%
13%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2022 |
TPE
0 - 0
FOL
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
FOL
1 - 1
PEN
53%
26%
21%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
FIO
1 - 0
FOL
57%
23%
19%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |