Tre Fiori vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
37.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
TFI
2 - 3
FOL
36%
24%
40%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
MUR
0 - 4
TFI
40%
26%
34%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
TFI
2 - 0
DOM
51%
25%
25%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
SGI
1 - 3
TFI
21%
23%
56%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | +3 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
FIO
3 - 1
TFI
49%
25%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
TFI
2 - 3
FOL
36%
24%
40%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
FOL
1 - 2
DOM
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -3 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
MUR
3 - 3
FOL
29%
26%
46%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
FOL
2 - 4
SGI
75%
16%
9%
|
67 | 40 | 27 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
FOL
3 - 2
VIR
60%
22%
17%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |