Tre Fiori vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
25.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
COS
0 - 0
TFI
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
TFI
3 - 1
CAI
70%
19%
11%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
SGI
1 - 0
TFI
32%
24%
44%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
TFI
0 - 1
JUV
47%
25%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
TFI
2 - 0
FAE
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
FOL
2 - 2
FIO
29%
26%
45%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
FIO
3 - 2
FOL
36%
25%
38%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
FOL
2 - 0
PEN
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
FOL
0 - 0
SGI
65%
20%
15%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
TPE
0 - 1
FOL
52%
26%
23%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |