Tre Fiori vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.7%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.4%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
7.3%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
FAE
1 - 1
TFI
31%
25%
45%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2010 |
RUD
4 - 1
TFI
42%
25%
32%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2010 |
TFI
0 - 3
RUD
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2010 |
TPE
1 - 2
TFI
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2010 |
TPE
1 - 2
TFI
48%
23%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
FOL
0 - 3
MUR
22%
24%
54%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
LIB
1 - 1
FOL
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
FOL
1 - 4
JUV
22%
27%
51%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
FOL
1 - 0
JUV
13%
21%
67%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2010 |
FOL
1 - 1
PEN
19%
22%
59%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | +1 |