Tre Fiori vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.9%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
TFI
1 - 0
COS
66%
19%
15%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
MUR
0 - 3
TFI
45%
24%
32%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2009 |
SJU
1 - 1
TFI
62%
19%
19%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2009 |
TFI
1 - 1
SJU
36%
23%
41%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
COS
5 - 0
TFI
22%
24%
54%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
FOL
1 - 2
PEN
29%
25%
46%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
FOL
1 - 1
FIO
32%
24%
43%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
FOL
1 - 0
FAE
36%
23%
41%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
FOL
4 - 1
FAE
28%
25%
47%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2009 |
FOL
2 - 3
CAI
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |