Tre Fiori vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
14.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2007 |
TFI
2 - 1
DOM
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
PEN
1 - 1
TFI
50%
25%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
CAI
2 - 1
TFI
21%
25%
54%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2007 |
TFI
0 - 4
MUR
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
COS
1 - 6
TFI
21%
24%
54%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
FOL
0 - 0
PEN
30%
25%
45%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
JUV
0 - 0
FOL
44%
26%
30%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
FOL
2 - 0
FIO
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
LIB
4 - 1
FOL
71%
18%
11%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
FOL
0 - 2
JUV
54%
23%
23%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |