Tre Fiori vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
12.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
TFI
2 - 0
FIO
83%
13%
4%
|
70 | 41 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2007 |
SGI
0 - 2
TFI
15%
22%
63%
|
70 | 39 | 31 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
DOM
1 - 3
TFI
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2006 |
TFI
4 - 2
LIB
47%
25%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
FAE
0 - 2
TFI
25%
26%
49%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
FIO
0 - 1
FOL
54%
23%
22%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2007 |
PEN
2 - 2
FOL
68%
19%
12%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
VIR
2 - 3
FOL
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
FOL
0 - 0
CAI
57%
24%
20%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2006 |
TPE
1 - 3
FOL
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +2 |