Tre Fiori vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
17.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
TFI
2 - 0
DOM
40%
25%
35%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
CAI
1 - 1
TFI
51%
24%
24%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
TFI
2 - 2
MUR
34%
26%
40%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2004 |
TPE
2 - 2
TFI
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2004 |
TFI
4 - 2
FIO
64%
21%
16%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
FOL
3 - 0
COS
45%
25%
29%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2004 |
FOL
2 - 1
MUR
19%
24%
57%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
SGI
1 - 2
FOL
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2004 |
FIO
1 - 1
FOL
50%
23%
26%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
VIR
2 - 1
FOL
78%
14%
7%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | -1 |