Tre Fiori vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
29.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2000 |
VIR
2 - 2
TFI
56%
22%
21%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2000 |
TFI
1 - 2
SGI
77%
15%
9%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2000 |
JUV
2 - 1
TFI
38%
25%
36%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2000 |
TFI
0 - 2
MUR
61%
20%
19%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
PEN
5 - 0
TFI
37%
25%
37%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2000 |
FOL
1 - 2
VIR
53%
23%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2000 |
SGI
1 - 0
FOL
22%
24%
54%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2000 |
FOL
3 - 2
MUR
58%
22%
20%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2000 |
FOL
0 - 0
PEN
62%
21%
17%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
JUV
0 - 2
FOL
37%
25%
37%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |