Tre Fiori vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
18.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
TFI
3 - 2
PEN
63%
20%
17%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
CAI
2 - 2
TFI
36%
26%
39%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
SGI
2 - 2
TFI
26%
25%
49%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
TFI
6 - 3
MUR
59%
22%
19%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
FIO
0 - 2
TFI
35%
26%
39%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
FOL
2 - 1
MUR
55%
23%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
LIB
0 - 1
FOL
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
FOL
2 - 1
FIO
61%
22%
18%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
COS
4 - 2
FOL
50%
25%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
VIR
2 - 1
FOL
50%
25%
26%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |