Tre Fiori vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
28.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
FIO
0 - 3
TFI
50%
24%
27%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
JUV
0 - 3
TFI
14%
21%
65%
|
66 | 42 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
TFI
1 - 0
VIR
65%
21%
15%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
FIO
0 - 0
TFI
16%
23%
62%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
MUR
0 - 0
TFI
12%
21%
67%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
FIO
0 - 3
TFI
50%
24%
27%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
FIO
0 - 0
FIO
14%
22%
64%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
FIO
1 - 0
PEN
68%
20%
11%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
FIO
1 - 0
MUR
77%
16%
7%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
LIB
0 - 3
FIO
16%
23%
61%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | +1 |