Tre Fiori vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.2%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
14.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
TFI
1 - 1
FIO
58%
21%
20%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
TFI
0 - 2
MUR
39%
24%
37%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
PEN
3 - 2
TFI
63%
20%
17%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
TPE
0 - 2
TFI
71%
17%
13%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
TFI
1 - 2
COS
38%
25%
38%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
CAI
2 - 0
FIO
80%
14%
6%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
FIO
0 - 5
VIR
18%
22%
60%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
FIO
1 - 4
FOL
17%
22%
62%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
FAE
0 - 0
FIO
75%
16%
9%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
FIO
1 - 1
JUV
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |