Tre Fiori vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.7%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
11.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2000 |
TFI
3 - 3
DOM
44%
24%
32%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2000 |
TPE
2 - 2
TFI
46%
24%
30%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2000 |
TFI
0 - 3
FOL
47%
24%
30%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2000 |
VIR
2 - 2
TFI
56%
22%
21%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2000 |
TFI
1 - 2
SGI
77%
15%
9%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2000 |
FIO
1 - 1
FOL
24%
24%
52%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2000 |
FIO
2 - 2
SGI
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2000 |
COS
3 - 0
FIO
69%
19%
12%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2000 |
FIO
0 - 2
CAI
30%
26%
44%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2000 |
FIO
3 - 0
TPE
39%
25%
36%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |