Tre Fiori vs Faetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
24.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2000 |
TFI
1 - 3
FIO
76%
15%
9%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2000 |
TFI
5 - 1
FIO
72%
17%
12%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2000 |
TFI
3 - 3
DOM
44%
24%
32%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2000 |
TPE
2 - 2
TFI
46%
24%
30%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2000 |
TFI
0 - 3
FOL
47%
24%
30%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2000 |
FAE
3 - 0
MUR
48%
24%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2000 |
FOL
2 - 1
FAE
61%
21%
18%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2000 |
FAE
3 - 0
PEN
53%
23%
24%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2000 |
VIR
1 - 1
FAE
61%
22%
18%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2000 |
CAI
0 - 2
FAE
59%
23%
19%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |