Tre Fiori vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
12.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
TFI
3 - 2
JUV
47%
24%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
FIO
3 - 2
TFI
64%
20%
15%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
TFI
4 - 2
MUR
52%
23%
25%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
VIR
4 - 1
TFI
45%
25%
30%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
FIO
3 - 1
TFI
59%
22%
20%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
COS
3 - 1
VIR
23%
24%
53%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
COS
1 - 3
FIO
22%
26%
52%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
FAE
3 - 1
COS
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
COS
0 - 3
PEN
23%
25%
52%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
COS
0 - 2
JUV
25%
25%
51%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |