Tre Fiori vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
13%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
TPE
2 - 0
TFI
36%
26%
38%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2012 |
TFI
1 - 1
CAI
81%
14%
5%
|
70 | 43 | 27 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
TFI
3 - 2
SGI
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
TPE
1 - 2
TFI
41%
26%
33%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
TFI
2 - 0
FOL
81%
14%
5%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
SGI
3 - 3
COS
46%
24%
30%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2012 |
SGI
3 - 1
COS
38%
23%
39%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2012 |
LIB
3 - 0
COS
47%
25%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
COS
2 - 2
DOM
69%
19%
11%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
SGI
1 - 2
COS
41%
25%
34%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |