Tre Fiori vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
17.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
TFI
4 - 1
FIO
84%
12%
4%
|
70 | 38 | 32 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
PEN
2 - 1
TFI
36%
26%
37%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2011 |
TFI
1 - 0
FAE
62%
20%
17%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
DOM
0 - 1
TFI
26%
24%
50%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
TFI
3 - 3
CAI
84%
13%
4%
|
70 | 44 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
SGI
0 - 2
COS
25%
25%
51%
|
63 | 40 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
DOM
0 - 1
COS
33%
27%
40%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
DOM
0 - 1
COS
36%
25%
39%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2011 |
FIO
1 - 2
COS
55%
23%
23%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
FAE
0 - 0
COS
39%
25%
36%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |