Tre Fiori vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.1%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
7.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
MUR
1 - 3
TFI
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2008 |
TFI
7 - 0
SGI
77%
15%
8%
|
68 | 33 | 35 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
FAE
0 - 4
TFI
33%
26%
41%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
TFI
3 - 0
FIO
77%
15%
8%
|
67 | 35 | 32 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
CAI
1 - 3
TFI
28%
26%
46%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
COS
4 - 0
SGI
78%
14%
8%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2008 |
MUR
2 - 1
COS
77%
16%
8%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
FOL
0 - 1
COS
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2008 |
COS
2 - 1
CAI
40%
26%
34%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
FIO
1 - 2
COS
30%
25%
45%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |