Tre Fiori vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2004 |
TFI
0 - 1
MUR
32%
25%
43%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
FIO
2 - 2
TFI
30%
25%
46%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
FAE
0 - 1
TFI
59%
23%
19%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +2 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
SGI
1 - 2
TFI
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
TFI
0 - 0
JUV
54%
23%
23%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2004 |
FIO
3 - 1
COS
34%
26%
40%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
COS
1 - 0
FAE
38%
25%
37%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
VIR
3 - 1
COS
75%
16%
9%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
COS
0 - 3
PEN
31%
24%
44%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
SGI
0 - 1
COS
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |