Tre Fiori vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
44.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
DOM
1 - 0
TFI
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
TFI
1 - 3
LIB
22%
22%
56%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2003 |
TPE
2 - 0
TFI
52%
23%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
TFI
1 - 1
FOL
33%
24%
43%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2003 |
TFI
1 - 1
VIR
23%
23%
54%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
SGI
1 - 1
COS
25%
25%
50%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
COS
1 - 1
JUV
84%
12%
5%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2003 |
LIB
1 - 1
COS
60%
22%
19%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
COS
1 - 4
CAI
49%
24%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2003 |
FAE
1 - 1
COS
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |