Trapani vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trapani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2016 |
SPE
0 - 1
TRA
37%
25%
38%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 2
TRA
39%
27%
35%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
TRA
3 - 0
CRO
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
LEO
1 - 1
TRA
24%
26%
50%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
TRA
0 - 0
NOV
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2016 |
SPE
0 - 1
TRA
37%
25%
38%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2016 |
CES
1 - 2
SPE
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2016 |
SPE
0 - 0
ASC
65%
22%
14%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
COM
4 - 0
SPE
21%
28%
51%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2016 |
SPE
2 - 1
BRE
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |