Trapani vs Melfi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.2%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
8.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trapani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
POM
1 - 1
TRA
25%
26%
50%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
FRO
3 - 1
TRA
76%
15%
9%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | -2 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
SPA
2 - 3
TRA
65%
21%
14%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
SPC
1 - 3
TRA
39%
26%
35%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
MES
0 - 2
TRA
63%
22%
15%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
ASM
2 - 1
FON
53%
23%
24%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
ASM
2 - 2
FCC
41%
27%
32%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
ACI
0 - 1
ASM
38%
26%
36%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
ASM
1 - 2
JUS
29%
27%
45%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
ASN
1 - 0
ASM
35%
26%
39%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |