Transvaal vs WBC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
35.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Transvaal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
TRA
2 - 1
EXC
42%
23%
34%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
BOM
1 - 4
TRA
62%
20%
18%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
TAK
2 - 0
TRA
59%
21%
20%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
VIC
5 - 0
TRA
61%
21%
18%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
NOT
0 - 0
TRA
51%
24%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
WBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
NOT
3 - 2
WBC
41%
24%
36%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
TAK
1 - 3
WBC
46%
22%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
VIC
3 - 2
WBC
52%
21%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
WBC
3 - 3
BOT
52%
21%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
WBC
1 - 3
INT
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |