Transvaal vs Santos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.8%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
12.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Transvaal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
SFC
3 - 5
TRA
12%
17%
70%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
PVV
2 - 0
TRA
30%
25%
45%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -2 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
TRA
4 - 3
ACO
84%
12%
5%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
SNL
1 - 3
TRA
20%
23%
57%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
TRA
1 - 2
BIN
70%
18%
12%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Santos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
SFC
3 - 5
TRA
12%
17%
70%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
ACO
0 - 0
SFC
55%
19%
26%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
SFC
2 - 3
SNL
35%
22%
43%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
BIN
4 - 3
SFC
77%
14%
10%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
SFC
0 - 2
WUN
32%
23%
46%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |