Transvaal vs Nishan '42 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
27.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Transvaal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
INT
2 - 1
TRA
58%
22%
20%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
TRA
3 - 1
BOT
47%
22%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
VIC
0 - 0
TRA
61%
21%
19%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
TRA
4 - 1
SNL
47%
24%
30%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
TRA
1 - 4
WBC
41%
23%
36%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Nishan '42
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
NIS
2 - 2
BOT
45%
22%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
WBC
4 - 3
NIS
58%
20%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
TAK
0 - 2
NIS
56%
20%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2015 |
NIS
1 - 0
INT
51%
23%
26%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -6 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
NIS
8 - 1
BOS
80%
13%
7%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | 0 |