Transvaal vs Excelsior Meerzorg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
30.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Transvaal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
INT
4 - 2
TRA
63%
20%
17%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
RAN
3 - 3
TRA
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
TRA
2 - 0
BOS
45%
24%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
RHO
1 - 3
TRA
56%
22%
22%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2012 |
WBC
3 - 1
TRA
57%
22%
21%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior Meerzorg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
SNL
0 - 2
EXC
49%
23%
28%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
BOS
2 - 0
EXC
45%
24%
32%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
EXC
1 - 6
INT
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
VIC
1 - 2
EXC
55%
21%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
RHO
2 - 0
EXC
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |