Narva Trans vs Sillamäe Kalev analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
15.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narva Trans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
KAL
4 - 1
TRA
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
TAL
0 - 0
TRA
28%
24%
48%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
LEV
4 - 0
TRA
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
FLO
4 - 0
TRA
61%
19%
20%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -3 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
TRA
2 - 3
SIK
72%
17%
11%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Sillamäe Kalev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
SIK
0 - 2
KAL
30%
25%
45%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
PAI
1 - 1
SIK
25%
23%
52%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
SIK
4 - 1
TAL
57%
21%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
SIK
0 - 0
LEV
22%
24%
54%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
TAM
0 - 0
SIK
28%
24%
49%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |