Narva Trans vs Maardu Aliens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.2%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.3%
4.5%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narva Trans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2019 |
TRA
0 - 2
BUD
33%
26%
42%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2019 |
TRA
1 - 1
KAL
14%
22%
64%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2019 |
KUR
1 - 1
TRA
24%
23%
53%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2019 |
TRA
2 - 5
TAM
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -2 |
| 19 Jun. 2019 |
LEV
2 - 0
TRA
81%
13%
6%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Maardu Aliens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2017 |
MAA
0 - 3
FCE
9%
14%
77%
|
18 | 44 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
MAA
6 - 1
TAA
35%
22%
44%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
PIR
1 - 2
MAA
69%
17%
14%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | +1 |