Narva Trans vs Harju JK Laagri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
34%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
4º
9º
5º
15
3º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 75 |
1º
|
63.5% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 72 |
2º
|
37.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 68 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 63 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
|
5º
|
35 | 60 |
5º
|
57.5% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 42 |
6º
|
49.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
15 | 39 |
7º
|
33% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 35 |
8º
|
38% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 30 |
9º
|
39% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 28 |
10º
|
58% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
1% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
11% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
88% | 85.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 12.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narva Trans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2025 |
TAL
2 - 5
TRA
32%
26%
42%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
LEV
1 - 0
TRA
51%
23%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
TRA
4 - 2
PAR
63%
23%
15%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
TRA
4 - 0
TAM
56%
24%
21%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
KUR
2 - 1
TRA
33%
26%
41%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Harju JK Laagri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
PAI
2 - 2
HJP
49%
23%
28%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
HJP
0 - 3
FLO
45%
25%
30%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
TAL
1 - 3
HJP
31%
23%
46%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
HJP
0 - 1
PAR
70%
19%
11%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2025 |
FLO
4 - 1
HJP
47%
24%
30%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |