Q. Europa League 1st Round Final
Global 1-8
Narva Trans vs Gefle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
40.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narva Trans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2013 |
TRA
1 - 0
LEV
18%
23%
60%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2013 |
FLO
1 - 0
TRA
78%
15%
8%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
JKR
1 - 11
TRA
10%
16%
74%
|
61 | 29 | 32 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2013 |
TAL
1 - 2
TRA
26%
24%
51%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
TRA
2 - 0
KAL
18%
23%
59%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Gefle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2013 |
GEF
1 - 1
DJU
38%
28%
33%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2013 |
ELF
0 - 0
GEF
68%
20%
12%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
GEF
0 - 0
OIF
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2013 |
SYR
2 - 2
GEF
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
GEF
1 - 1
GÖT
19%
24%
57%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |