Tranmere Rovers vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
25.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tranmere Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
MIL
1 - 0
TRA
51%
27%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2008 |
TRA
2 - 1
WAL
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2008 |
HER
2 - 2
TRA
34%
30%
36%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
TRA
1 - 0
BHA
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2008 |
SCU
2 - 1
TRA
64%
21%
16%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
CUM
3 - 2
MKD
32%
27%
41%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
LEE
0 - 2
CUM
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2008 |
OLD
0 - 0
CUM
61%
23%
17%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2008 |
CUM
3 - 0
HUR
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +2 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
NOR
1 - 0
CUM
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |