FA Cup 1/128
Global 1-0
Tranmere Rovers vs Accrington Stanley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
15.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tranmere Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
STA
0 - 0
TRA
30%
26%
45%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2008 |
TRA
1 - 0
MOR
59%
22%
19%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
MKD
1 - 0
TRA
59%
23%
17%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2008 |
STO
0 - 0
TRA
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2008 |
TRA
2 - 0
CRE
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
STA
0 - 0
TRA
30%
26%
45%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
DAG
0 - 0
STA
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2008 |
MOR
1 - 1
STA
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
STA
0 - 1
WYC
33%
28%
39%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2008 |
STA
2 - 1
STF
28%
26%
46%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | +1 |